Wednesday, January 17, 2007

Championship Week Picks!

Sorry guys, there won't be any team lineups the week. No, it isn't that I'm too lazy. The real reason is NFL.com only lets you change 4 players from your previous week. So, it depends on who your team is. Although, if you were smart you went with my recommended team (they got me 107 points this week!). It was kind of hard to go wrong with your RBs though.

Anyways, it is Championship week in the NFL and here are my fearless picks! I will be the first to admit I'm not the best at this, I seem to go 2-2 every week. But hey, it's not like you're paying for my advice, right?

AFC Championship Game: I'm taking the Indianapolis Colts for 2 reasons (and 1 lame reason):

  1. The Colts are at home. This is a huge factor in Sunday's game because the Colts play horrible in New England (especially in the cold weather). Now I'm not saying that Brady and the Pats are bad in domes, but it at least puts them on even ground. The Dome noise should cause the Pats offense a lot of trouble.
  2. Peyton Manning. Manning hasn't played as well as he does during the season so far (in the postseason), but he is still managing the game well. He will be spending the entire week going over film and preparing this game. I expect him to be able to read the Pats Defense well, and continue to manage the game. With the Pats strong run D it is going to be on his shoulders to not make mistakes, and to make the big plays. We all know he has the talent and the talent around him to do so. He is overdue.
  3. (This is the lame reason): Vinatieri. As a Steeler fan I hate his guts. I can't stand how the Pats won two of their Super Bowls and most of their playoff and regular season games. If it weren't for him, they wouldn't have won half of those games. I think the Colts will be able to jump ahead in this one and Brady will finally be unable to lead a miracle drive in the last minute to win the game by 1 or 2 points because of his kicker. Gostowski will choke.
NFC Championship Game: I'm taking the New Orleans Saints for one reason: The Bears are at home. Let me explain...

In 9 games at home this season (8 regular season, 1 Playoff game) the Chicago Bears gave up 107 yards rushing per game. While that isn't a ridiculous amount, the number also includes games against very poor running teams. When the Bears are actually facing a strong running game they are giving up close to 140 rushing yards a game. The Saints are exactly that, a strong running team. The Chicago Bears can't stop the run up the middle. Deuce McAllister was a beast all season (and last week too) at running up the gut. He is going to have a HUGE game for the Saints.

I expect Grossman to start trying to do to much and lose his confidence. The best part about playing Rex Grossman is as soon as you rattle him, he chokes. If the Saints are going to win, which they should, they need to do two simple things: Run up the middle and put pressure on Rex.

That's just my two cents, I'm sure some of you will disagree. I guess we'll see what happens Sunday!

3 comments:

PoEt said...

those are my picks as well :)

Mike Perry said...

Wouldn't dare to disagree!
Mike.

Pratt said...

That's what I like to hear Mike ;)